Cam Sims Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Cam Sims

NFL · Player Props

Cam Sims

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Cam Sims Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will be forced to use backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.9 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers profile as the 5th-worst LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-least in the league.
Cam Sims has been not been very involved his team's offense, earning a Target Share of just 3.3% this year, which puts him in the 20th percentile among WRs.
The Washington Commanders offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Cam Sims has accumulated significantly fewer receiving yards per game (6.0) this year than he did last year (24.0).
The Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered the least receiving yards per game in football (just 117.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

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