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Cam Akers

Cam Akers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings

Cam Akers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+780/-2000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 61.1% red zone pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.63 seconds per snap.

The Steelers pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86%) versus running backs since the start of last season (86.0%).

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's collection of LBs has been lousy since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 56.1% of their plays: the 11th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack results when facing windier conditions in this game.

The Steelers defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest TDs through the air in the NFL to running backs: 0.05 per game since the start of last season.

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