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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Calvin Ridley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+470/-550).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -480 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -550.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • While Calvin Ridley has received 10.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Tennessee's offense near the goal line in this contest at 16.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Calvin Ridley has put up far fewer air yards this season (68.0 per game) than he did last season (106.0 per game).
  • Calvin Ridley's 53.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 66.0.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year.
  • Calvin Ridley's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 56.4% to 41.7%.

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