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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Calvin Ridley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+205/-215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +215 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +205.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6-point underdog this week.

When it comes to air yards, Calvin Ridley ranks in the lofty 98th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 103.0 per game.

Calvin Ridley places in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 65.1 mark since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the weak Indianapolis Colts defense has been torched for a staggering 75.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.4% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Titans are willing to include receivers in their ground game, and Calvin Ridley has garnered 3.3% of red zone rush attempts since the start of last season (0th when it comes to wideouts).

The Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Calvin Ridley's 48.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a meaningful drop-off in his receiving talent over last season's 56.4% mark.

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