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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Calvin Ridley Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+520/-650).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -510 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -650.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Titans offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.
  • Calvin Ridley has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (77.0 per game) than he did last season (106.0 per game).
  • Calvin Ridley's 49.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 66.0.
  • Calvin Ridley's 45.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a substantial decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 56.4% rate.
  • The receiving TD field reads "0" on Calvin Ridley's box scores this year.

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