My Account Log Out

reorder

Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+171/-184).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -184.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

The predictive model expects Calvin Ridley to garner 6.8 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Calvin Ridley's 53.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 66.0.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year.

Calvin Ridley's 1.9 adjusted catches per game this year indicates an impressive decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 3.7 rate.

Calvin Ridley's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 56.4% to 41.7%.

More Calvin Ridley Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™