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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-149/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

Our trusted projections expect Calvin Ridley to notch 7.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

Calvin Ridley's 1.9 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a substantial regression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 3.7 mark.

Calvin Ridley's 37.6% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects an impressive reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 56.4% mark.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Texans defense has given up a measly 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the best rate in football.

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