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Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Titans are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.The predictive model expects Calvin Ridley to total 8.4 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.Calvin Ridley ranks in the 93rd percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 65.8 mark since the start of last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Our trusted projections expect the Titans to be the 9th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.The Titans have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 56.3 plays per game.When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season.Calvin Ridley profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, completing a measly 55.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 10th percentile among wideoutsSince the start of last season, the daunting Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed a measly 59.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 2nd-lowest rate in the league.
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