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Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-121/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.

The leading projections forecast Calvin Ridley to accrue 6.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.

Calvin Ridley's 49.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 66.0.

Calvin Ridley's 2.2 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects an impressive decrease in his receiving skills over last year's 3.7 rate.

Calvin Ridley's 45.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a substantial decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 56.4% rate.

The Texans pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (56.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (56.9%).

More Calvin Ridley Player Props

Calvin Ridley ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 11