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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are enormous -8-point underdogs.

The Broncos defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.6 per game) last year.

The projections expect Calvin Ridley to accrue 8.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among WRs.

Calvin Ridley places in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a massive 66.0 mark last year.

Last year, the poor Broncos pass defense has been gouged for a massive 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 9th-largest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.7% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Titans to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Titans last year (a measly 56.5 per game on average).

When talking about pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year.

With a lackluster 56.4% Adjusted Completion% (13th percentile) last year, Calvin Ridley places as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among WRs.

More Calvin Ridley Player Props

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