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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 136.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jaguars this year (a staggering 64.2 per game on average).
  • In this contest, Calvin Ridley is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 87th percentile among wide receivers with 8.2 targets.
  • Calvin Ridley's 56.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the NFL: 83rd percentile for wideouts.
  • Calvin Ridley has been among the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging a fantastic 4.3 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 9th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • The the Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass game statistics across the board.

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