Calvin Ridley Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a -4-point underdog in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 10th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.49 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Jaguars as the 6th-quickest in the league (context-neutralized) right now.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
Calvin Ridley has run a route on 93.0% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 21-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
With a weak 59.3% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley stands as one of the most unreliable receivers in football among WRs.
This year, the daunting Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed a paltry 61.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 6th-best rate in football.
The Ravens safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

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