My Account Log Out
 
 
Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are an enormous 14-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Titans to pass on 66.0% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • The Colts defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.
  • Our trusted projections expect Calvin Ridley to earn 8.1 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are projected by the projections to call just 61.3 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Calvin Ridley has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (77.0 per game) than he did last season (106.0 per game).
  • Calvin Ridley's 49.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 66.0.
  • Calvin Ridley's 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates a material drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 57.0 rate.
  • Calvin Ridley's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 56.4% to 44.9%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™