Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2025

Updated Oct 5, 2025 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
The predictive model expects Calvin Ridley to garner 6.8 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Calvin Ridley has put up far fewer air yards this season (68.0 per game) than he did last season (106.0 per game).
Calvin Ridley's 53.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 66.0.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year.
Calvin Ridley has totaled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (27.0) this year than he did last year (57.0).

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