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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6-point underdog this week.
  • In this week's game, Calvin Ridley is expected by the projection model to slot into the 83rd percentile among wide receivers with 7.6 targets.
  • When it comes to air yards, Calvin Ridley ranks in the lofty 98th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 103.0 per game.
  • Calvin Ridley places in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 65.1 mark since the start of last season.
  • With an exceptional 55.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Calvin Ridley rates among the top WRs in the game in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.4% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Calvin Ridley's 48.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a meaningful drop-off in his receiving talent over last season's 56.4% mark.
  • Calvin Ridley's 5.8 adjusted yards per target this season represents a significant diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 8.5 rate.

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