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Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.

The leading projections forecast Calvin Ridley to accrue 6.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.

Calvin Ridley has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (77.0 per game) than he did last season (106.0 per game).

Calvin Ridley's 49.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 66.0.

Calvin Ridley's 36.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year conveys an impressive regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 57.0 figure.

Calvin Ridley's 45.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a substantial decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 56.4% rate.

More Calvin Ridley Player Props

Calvin Ridley Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11