Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 136.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jaguars this year (a staggering 64.2 per game on average).
In this contest, Calvin Ridley is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 87th percentile among wide receivers with 8.2 targets.
Calvin Ridley has put up a staggering 95.0 air yards per game this year: 89th percentile among WRs.
Calvin Ridley's 56.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the NFL: 83rd percentile for wideouts.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 9th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
The the Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
Calvin Ridley has been among the worst WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 21st percentile.

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