Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.
The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
With an exceptional 91.5% Route Participation Rate (88th percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley ranks among the wide receivers with the most usage in football.

Favors Under

Calvin Ridley rates as one of the bottom wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging just 2.19 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 17th percentile.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Houston's group of CBs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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