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Calvin Austin III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings

Calvin Austin III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+295/-425).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -400 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -425.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.

Calvin Austin III ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to WRs since the start of last season with an astounding 22.7% of his team's air yards accumulated.

Calvin Austin III ranks in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.50 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 7th-most run-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 46.6% red zone run rate.

The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.28 seconds per snap.

While Calvin Austin III has accounted for 25.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Pittsburgh's pass game near the end zone in this week's game at 17.4%.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in the NFL vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season (69.1% Adjusted Completion%).

The Vikings safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

More Calvin Austin III Player Props

Calvin Austin III TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings

Calvin Austin III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4