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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Calvin Austin III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+580/-950).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -960 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -950.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -7.5-point underdog this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 65.3% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • The Steelers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 51.3 plays per game.
  • After averaging 42.0 air yards per game last year, Calvin Austin III has gotten worse this year, currently sitting at 37.0 per game.
  • Calvin Austin III's 60.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 64.8% mark.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in football versus the Detroit Lions defense this year (66.0% Adjusted Completion%).

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