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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Calvin Austin III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+370/-540).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -420 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -540.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.96 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.
  • Calvin Austin III grades out in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs this year with a staggering 26.9% of his team's air yards accumulated.
  • Calvin Austin III's 42.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 32.8.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) this year.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year (66.7% Adjusted Completion%).
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the most TDs in the NFL (1.55 per game) versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year.

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