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Calvin Austin III Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Calvin Austin III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-233/+180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -7.5-point underdog this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 65.3% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

The Steelers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 51.3 plays per game.

While Calvin Austin III has received 13.6% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a less important option in Pittsburgh's pass game in this contest at 8.5%.

Calvin Austin III's 60.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 64.8% mark.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.3%) versus WRs this year (62.3%).

More Calvin Austin III Player Props

Calvin Austin III ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Calvin Austin III Receptions
Player Prop Week 16