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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Calvin Austin III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (66.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (66.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 50.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.5 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Miami's group of safeties has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the league.

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