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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Calvin Austin III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Calvin Austin III's 43.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 32.8.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Chicago's group of CBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

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