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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Calvin Austin III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-180).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Calvin Austin III's 48.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 32.8.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed a whopping 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 10th-biggest rate in the league.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The fewest plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a lowly 50.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.

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