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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+100/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: most in the league.
  • Calvin Austin III has notched significantly more air yards this year (53.0 per game) than he did last year (42.0 per game).
  • Calvin Austin III's 51.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 32.8.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 49.3 plays per game.
  • Calvin Austin III's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a significant decrease in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 4.2% mark.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wideouts this year, surrendering 7.20 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in football.
  • As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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