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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.

Calvin Austin III ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to WRs since the start of last season with an astounding 22.7% of his team's air yards accumulated.

Calvin Austin III's 10.6 adjusted yards per target this year marks a noteable growth in his pass-catching talent over last year's 9.1 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.28 seconds per snap.

The Vikings safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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