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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Calvin Austin III has been one of the most effective pass-catchers in football, averaging an outstanding 9.40 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Since the start of last season, the porous New England Patriots defense has yielded a massive 148.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 9th-worst in the league.

The New England Patriots pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.9%) versus WRs since the start of last season (67.9%).

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's collection of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.10 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

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