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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • Calvin Austin III has been responsible for a staggering 26.6% of his offense's air yards this year: 81st percentile among wide receivers.
  • Calvin Austin III's 41.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 32.8.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 64.3 total plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
  • Calvin Austin III's 7.1 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a significant reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 9.1 mark.
  • Calvin Austin III's ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this year, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.22 figure last year.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Baltimore's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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