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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Calvin Austin III grades out in the 83rd percentile among WRs this year with a remarkable 28.8% of his offense's air yards accumulated.
  • Calvin Austin III's 43.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 32.8.
  • This year, the anemic Chicago Bears defense has conceded a monstrous 159.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 10th-most in the league.
  • This year, the anemic Chicago Bears defense has been torched for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a staggering 9.80 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • Calvin Austin III's 7.5 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a material drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 9.1 rate.
  • Calvin Austin III's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a noteworthy drop-off in his efficiency in space over last season's 4.2% mark.

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