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Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Calvin Austin III has accumulated many more air yards this year (50.0 per game) than he did last year (42.0 per game).

Calvin Austin III's 48.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 32.8.

When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.

This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed a whopping 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 10th-biggest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

The fewest plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a lowly 50.2 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.

Calvin Austin III's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling just 7.64 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.08 mark last season.

Calvin Austin III's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks an impressive regression in his effectiveness in space over last season's 4.2% rate.

More Calvin Austin III Player Props

Calvin Austin III Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11