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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Calvin Austin III has accounted for a massive 31.8% of his offense's air yards this year: 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Calvin Austin III's 46.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 32.8.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Steelers to run the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 50.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Chargers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.
  • Calvin Austin III's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a meaningful diminishment in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 4.2% figure.
  • This year, the imposing Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded a mere 124.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-best in football.

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