My Account Log Out
 
 
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Caleb Williams TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 137.6 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 62.1 per game on average).
  • The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bears as the 4th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Bears to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 51.9% red zone pass rate.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.5 per game) this year.
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™