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Caleb Williams Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Caleb Williams Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 205.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 216.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 205.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bears to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bears have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.

The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (36.1 per game) this year.

The Bears offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

Opposing teams have passed for the 8th-fewest yards in the league (just 211.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

This year, the formidable Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a meager 7.0 yards.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's safety corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

More Caleb Williams Player Props

Caleb Williams Passing YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Caleb Williams Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16