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Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams Interceptions
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Caleb Williams Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chicago Bears feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Ben Johnson, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • A passing game script is implied by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The predictive model expects the Bears as the 6th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Chicago Bears since the start of last season (a whopping 59.0 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Bears to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The Lions have intercepted 0.87 balls per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-best defense in the league by this stat.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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