|
|
Caleb Williams Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -110.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The model projects the Bears to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.The Bears have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (36.1 per game) this year.The Bears offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.The Packers have intercepted 0.49 balls per game this year, grading out as the 7th-worst defense in football by this statistic
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's safety corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
