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Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams Completions
Player Prop Week 8

Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Caleb Williams Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.7 per game) this year.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.
  • This year, the weak Baltimore Ravens defense has been gouged for a massive 75.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-worst rate in the NFL.
  • The Baltimore Ravens linebackers project as the 7th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year with their pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 58.5% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL has been the Chicago Bears.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to run 66.3 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.

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