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Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Caleb Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-157/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Chicago Bears since the start of last season (a whopping 59.0 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chicago Bears feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Ben Johnson, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • A passing game script is implied by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run on 39.2% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Bears to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

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