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Cade Stover

Cade Stover Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Cade Stover Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+670/-1400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Texans, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (62.5% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Texans.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 131.5 offensive plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (86.6%) to TEs this year (86.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.2 per game) this year.
  • This year, the daunting Kansas City Chiefs defense has given up a measly 0.25 TDs through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

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