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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Cade Otton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-295).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -295.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 8th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (58.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-most plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).
  • Our trusted projections expect Cade Otton to be a more important option in his team's passing game near the end zone this week (16.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.5% in games he has played).
  • This year, the deficient 49ers defense has yielded a massive 0.60 TDs through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the 6th-largest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.
  • After accruing 35.0 air yards per game last year, Cade Otton has posted significant losses this year, currently sitting at 20.0 per game.
  • Cade Otton's 19.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 39.9.
  • Cade Otton's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 70.7% to 66.6%.
  • Cade Otton has not caught any touchdowns this year.

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