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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cade Otton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+520/-590).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -560 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -590.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.2% red zone pass rate.

The Buccaneers offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in football (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 27.75 seconds per play.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 5th-most in football.

While Cade Otton has garnered 6.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Tampa Bay's passing offense near the goal line in this week's game at 12.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Cade Otton has accrued far fewer air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (35.0 per game).

Cade Otton's 15.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 39.9.

Cade Otton's 60.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a substantial regression in his receiving talent over last season's 70.7% figure.

The receiving TD field reads "0" on Cade Otton's stats page this year.

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