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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Cade Otton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+455/-640).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -550 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -640.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.0% red zone pass rate.

The Buccaneers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.2 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast Cade Otton to be much more involved in his team's air attack near the end zone this week (14.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.1% in games he has played).

In regards to air yards, Cade Otton grades out in the lofty 86th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a superb 31.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers offense to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Eagles, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Cade Otton's 49.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a substantial drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 70.7% rate.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL against the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season (66.0% Adjusted Completion%).

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