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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets

Cade Otton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+315/-415).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -365 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -415.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (58.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a mere 55.4 per game on average).

As it relates to air yards, Cade Otton ranks in the towering 85th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accumulating a superb 33.0 per game.

Cade Otton's 37.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 87th percentile for TEs.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 59.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

The projections expect Cade Otton to be a much smaller piece of his offense's pass game near the goal line in this week's game (14.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (23.0% in games he has played).

More Cade Otton Player Props

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