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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Cade Otton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+530/-750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -490 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -750.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (59.5% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • This year, the porous Panthers pass defense has given up a staggering 79.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 5th-worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have only 126.4 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • After accumulating 35.0 air yards per game last season, Cade Otton has significantly declined this season, now boasting 24.0 per game.
  • Cade Otton's 28.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 39.9.
  • Cade Otton has been one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among TEs, catching a measly 70.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 25th percentile.

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