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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Cade Otton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+330/-370).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -355 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -370.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (59.9% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • While Cade Otton has accounted for 6.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Tampa Bay's passing offense near the end zone in this week's game at 12.5%.
  • The Tampa Bay O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Buccaneers being a huge 7.5-point favorite this week.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 53.1% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: fewest in football.
  • After accumulating 35.0 air yards per game last year, Cade Otton has significantly declined this year, now averaging 24.0 per game.
  • Cade Otton's 28.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 39.9.

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