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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Cade Otton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+310/-435).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -315 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -435.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.4% red zone pass rate.
  • The projections expect Cade Otton to be much more involved in his team's pass attack near the goal line in this contest (13.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.9% in games he has played).
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the 8th-most receiving TDs in football to tight ends: 0.45 per game this year.
  • The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the 7th-best group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
  • At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • After accruing 35.0 air yards per game last year, Cade Otton has produced significantly less this year, currently averaging 26.0 per game.
  • Cade Otton's 29.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 39.9.
  • With a bad 69.4% Adjusted Completion% (14th percentile) this year, Cade Otton rates among the worst possession receivers in football among TEs.

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