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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Cade Otton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+310/-340).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +310 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +310.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.0 per game) this year.
  • While Cade Otton has received 5.7% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Tampa Bay's passing attack near the end zone in this week's contest at 14.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Cade Otton has notched quite a few less air yards this year (26.0 per game) than he did last year (35.0 per game).
  • Cade Otton's 28.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 39.9.
  • With an awful rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Cade Otton has been among the bottom receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to tight ends this year.

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