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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Cade Otton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+240/-255).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +240 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +240.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast Cade Otton to be much more involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game (16.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.2% in games he has played).
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in football vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (75.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest TDs in football (0.33 per game) versus the Patriots defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Buccaneers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • After accruing 35.0 air yards per game last year, Cade Otton has fallen off this year, currently sitting at 24.0 per game.
  • Cade Otton's 26.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 39.9.
  • This year, Cade Otton has not caught any receiving TDs this year.
  • The Patriots defensive ends profile as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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