My Account Log Out

reorder

Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6-point underdog in this game.

The model projects the Buccaneers as the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The model projects Cade Otton to accumulate 4.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.3 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Cade Otton's 11.4% Target Rate this season indicates a noteable decline in his passing attack usage over last season's 19.0% figure.

Cade Otton's receiving performance has tailed off this season, compiling a mere 2.5 adjusted receptions vs 4.2 last season.

This year, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has conceded a measly 68.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Lions safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More Cade Otton Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™