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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The Buccaneers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.2 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast Cade Otton to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense this week (12.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.5% in games he has played).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.

With a terrific 3.7 adjusted catches per game (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Cade Otton ranks as one of the top pass-game TEs in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers offense to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Eagles, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Cade Otton's 49.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a substantial drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 70.7% rate.

Since the start of last season, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded a feeble 68.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.

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